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Accession Number PB2013-108697
Title Forecasting Paratransit Services Demand - Review and Recommendations.
Publication Date Jun 2013
Media Count 55p
Personal Author A. Joslin J. A. Goodwin
Abstract Travel demand forecasting tools for Florida's paratransit services are outdated, utilizing old national trip generation rate generalities and simple linear regression models. In its guidance for the development of mandated Transportation Disadvantaged Service Plans (TDSP), the Florida Commission for the Transportation Disadvantaged (CTD) refers transit planners to the May 1993 'Methodology Guidelines for Forecasting TD Transportation Demand at the County Level' to develop forecasts of transportation disadvantaged populations. This report examines the current demand forecasting procedure, examines samples of other forecasting methods, and details critical factors that should be considered in addressing the development of a new paratransit demand forecasting model. The report concludes with the development of an updated paratransit service demand model and details its application. A dynamic model spreadsheet was developed which requires relatively simple and minimal data inputs by the end user.
Keywords Disadvantaged groups
Public transportation
Rapid transit systems
Transit industries
Transportation planning
Transportation services
Travel demand
Trip generation

Source Agency N/A
NTIS Subject Category 91B - Transportation & Traffic Planning
43G - Transportation
85 - Transportation
92C - Social Concerns
Corporate Author Center for Urban Transportation Research, Tampa, FL. National Center for Transit Research.
Document Type Technical report
Title Note Final rept.
NTIS Issue Number 1321
Contract Number BDK85-977-34

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