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Accession Number PB2013-101047
Title Fruit and Tree Nuts Outlook (Updated September 27, 2012).
Publication Date Sep 2012
Media Count 42p
Personal Author A. Perez K. Plattner
Abstract Adverse weather is behind the forecast smaller U.S. apple, pear, and grape crops in 2012. In August, USDAs National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) initial forecast for the 2012 U.S. apple crop was 8.1 billion pounds, down 14 percent from a year ago and the smallest in over two decades. Multiple spring freezes significantly reduced crops across the central and eastern U.S. apple-growing regions while a fairly normal growing season encouraged reasonable-sized crops in the western region. Although shipments are up thus far, anticipated production shortages in the central and eastern regions are boosting demand for western U.S. apples, resulting in strong early-season apple grower prices. The 2012 U.S. pear crop was forecast by NASS in August at 1.76 billion pounds, down 8 percent from a year ago. Replenishing energy from last years large crop and unfavorable weather this growing season was behind this decline. Among the top three producing States, production is forecast to decline in Washington and California but to increase slightly in Oregon. With the fresh-market share of total utilized production remaining at over 60 percent in recent years, ERS projects U.S. fresh pear production in 2012/13 to be down 11 percent from 2011/12. This decline should elevate 2012/13 fresh pear grower prices, especially as competing U.S. fresh-apple supplies are also anticipated to be down.
Keywords Agricultural economics
Economic forecasting
Fruit crops
International trade
United States

Source Agency Economic Research Service
NTIS Subject Category 98B - Agricultural Economics
96A - Domestic Commerce, Marketing, & Economics
96C - International Commerce, Marketing, & Economics
Corporate Author Economic Research Service, Washington, DC.
Document Type Technical report
Title Note N/A
NTIS Issue Number 1226
Contract Number N/A

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