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Accession Number N20120013069
Title Development of Risk Uncertainty Factors from Historical NASA Projects.
Publication Date Dec 2011
Media Count 151p
Personal Author T. R. Amer
Abstract NASA is a good investment of federal funds and strives to provide the best value to the nation. NASA has consistently budgeted to unrealistic cost estimates, which are evident in the cost growth in many of its programs. In this investigation, NASA has been using available uncertainty factors from the Aerospace Corporation, Air Force, and Booz Allen Hamilton to develop projects risk posture. NASA has no insight into the developmental of these factors and, as demonstrated here, this can lead to unrealistic risks in many NASA Programs and projects (P/p). The primary contribution of this project is the development of NASA missions uncertainty factors, from actual historical NASA projects, to aid cost-estimating as well as for independent reviews which provide NASA senior management with information and analysis to determine the appropriate decision regarding P/p. In general terms, this research project advances programmatic analysis for NASA projects.
Keywords Budgeting
Cost estimates
Data processing
Goodness of fit
Nasa space programs
Probability density functions
Project management
Research and development
Risk management

Source Agency National Aeronautics and Space Administration
NTIS Subject Category 70 - Administration & Management
84 - Space Technology
Corporate Author National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Washington, DC.
Document Type Thesis
Title Note Thesis
NTIS Issue Number 1303
Contract Number N/A

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