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Accession Number
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ADA568565
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Title
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Location Forecast of Future Urban Residential Development Near Nellis Air Force Base, Nevada.
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Publication Date
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Sep 2009
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Media Count
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34p
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Personal Author
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J. D. Westervelt
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Abstract
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Urban growth near military facilities could erode the ability of the military to conduct current and potential future missions in southern Nevada, especially near Nellis Air Force Base (AFB). While it is well understood that the Las Vegas urban area (and the I-15 corridor connecting it to the Los Angeles basin) have experienced significant growth, it is the anticipated patterns of future development that are most important to military planning. Proper regional planning could alter the patterns of future development near installations. This document reports the results of applying the Regional Urban Growth (RUG) model to the region surrounding Las Vegas to forecast where future growth is likely to happen. This exercise did not project any significant nearby urban development near Nellis AFB. The base appears to be blocking extension of urban development to the northeast and development pressure is not currently substantial enough to leapfrog the base. This first-cut analysis can be followed by more detailed urban growth modeling to fine-tune these results. Subsequent modeling can also test the implications of alternative regional plans involving significant highway/road construction, transfer of property rights associated with large tracts, and regional zoning.
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Keywords
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Air force facilities Basins(Geographic) Forecasting Growth(General) Highways Management planning and control Military planning Missions Models Nellis air force base(Nevada) Patterns Regional planning Regions Reports Residential section Roads Rug(Regional urban growth) Urban areas Urban growth Urban planning Zoning
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Source Agency
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Non Paid ADAS
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NTIS Subject Category
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70B - Management Practice 50B - Civil Engineering 74E - Logistics, Military Facilities, & Supplies 91H - Regional Administration & Planning
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Corporate Author
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Construction Engineering Research Lab. (Army), Champaign, IL. Engineer Research and Development Center.
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Document Type
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Technical report
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Title Note
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Final rept.
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NTIS Issue Number
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1311
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Contract Number
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MIPR-DSAM70765
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